Rest of Season Projection
ColtonCategoryJac
11HR →14
37R ←32
39RBI ←21
2SB2
.204AVG →.262
Current Season
ColtonCategoryJac
4HR →6
17R →20
18RBI ←13
1SB1
.227AVG →.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colton Cowser
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.298)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.348, +0.033 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Colton Cowser: 11 HR / 37 R. Jac Caglianone: 14 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).