Rest of Season Projection
ColtonCategoryOwen
11HR ←8
37R ←31
39RBI →55
2SB →6
.204AVG ←.182
Current Season
ColtonCategoryOwen
4HR →5
17R17
18RBI →30
1SB →3
.227AVG →.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Colton Cowser
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.298)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Owen Caissie
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.277 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 42% is stable and high — caps the floor
Colton Cowser: 11 HR / 37 R. Owen Caissie: 8 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).