Rest of Season Projection
OwenCategoryRyan
9HR ←5
33R ←26
58RBI ←57
6SB6
.189AVG →.228
Current Season
OwenCategoryRyan
5HR ←3
17R ←9
30RBI ←20
3SB ←2
.234AVG →.278
What Each Player's System Trusts
Owen Caissie
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.283 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ryan Vilade
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.311)
Owen Caissie: 9 HR / 33 R. Ryan Vilade: 5 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).