Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryHenry
5HR →9
27R27
34RBI ←27
3SB ←2
.228AVG ←.201
Current Season
ConnorCategoryHenry
0HR →4
8R →12
10RBI →12
1SB1
.258AVG ←.139
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Henry Davis
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.140 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Henry Davis: 9 HR / 27 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).