Is Connor Wong a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Sell — metrics are consistently below average with signal behind the decline.

What is Connor Wong's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .281 with 85.9 mph exit velo — no contact foundation.

238 PA · week 31

this weekSELL

last weekSELL-HIGH

Connor Wong

BOS·C

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

flipped from SELL-HIGH on October 26, 2026

Sell stable xwOBA 0.281 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.62

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Wong is a sell — the bat is under league and trending the wrong way.

He is averaging 85.9 mph off the bat, three mph under the league average, with a 34.8% hard-hit rate and 4.4% barrels — both well below league. That contact profile has had 158 batted balls to settle in, so it is who he is right now, not a cold stretch. His expected wOBA is .281 against a league average of .315, and the trend line is stepping down across the sample. His actual wOBA of .295 sits within rounding distance of the expected mark, so there is no suppressed luck waiting to hand him a bounce. He strikes out 23.9% of the time and chases 32%, so the on-base floor is thin too. Nothing here is hiding a better hitter. Sell. Projected at 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG, he's a waiver-wire fringe catcher — cut him and stream the spot.

VS His Norm

Barrel %4.4%—−2.3% ▼vs his ~6.7% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.281 below league with no luck excuse

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo85.9 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.1 mphvs his norm —

158 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %34.8%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.2%vs his norm —

158 / 50 BBE

Barrel %4.4%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−3.6%vs his norm −2.3% ▼

158 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.281

lg avg .315 ▼−.034vs his norm —

238 / 160 PA

wOBA.295

lg avg .315 ▼−.020vs his norm —

238 / 200 PA

Strikeout %23.9%

lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —

238 / 60 PA

Walk %7.1%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.4%vs his norm —

238 / 120 PA

BABIP.300

lg avg .295 ▲+.005vs his norm −.027 ▼BABIP is below his ~.327 norm — expect it to rise.

158 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.8%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm —

238 / 50 PA

Chase %32.0%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —

238 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 4.4%→5.7%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.4% (signal) lifted to career ~6.7% → projected 5.7%.

BABIP 0.300→0.286 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.300 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.282 (xBA 0.219) → 0.286.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (1 in 24 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons