Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryFrancisco
5HR →10
24R24
30RBI ←20
3SB ←0
.231AVG →.243
Current Season
ConnorCategoryFrancisco
0HR →4
8R →12
10RBI10
1SB ←0
.258AVG ←.243
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.352 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.285 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Francisco Alvarez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.334)
Connor Wong: 5 HR / 25 R. Francisco Alvarez: 10 HR / 25 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).