Rest of Season Projection
CalCategoryFrancisco
12HR ←10
27R ←24
30RBI ←20
3SB ←0
.180AVG →.243
Current Season
CalCategoryFrancisco
7HR ←4
16R ←12
18RBI ←10
2SB ←0
.161AVG →.243
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cal Raleigh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.192 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Francisco Alvarez
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.334)
Cal Raleigh: 12 HR / .180 AVG vs Francisco Alvarez: 11 HR / .243 AVG. Raleigh edges in power; Alvarez comfortably leads in batting average. The buy-low verdict on Raleigh reflects a skill advantage the surface stats obscure.