Rest of Season Projection
CalCategoryConnor
12HR ←5
27R ←24
30RBI30
3SB3
.180AVG →.231
Current Season
CalCategoryConnor
7HR ←0
16R ←8
18RBI ←10
2SB ←1
.161AVG →.258
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cal Raleigh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.192 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.352 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.285 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Cal Raleigh: 12 HR / 27 R. Connor Wong: 5 HR / 25 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).