Rest of Season Projection
CalCategoryCarter
12HR ←9
27R →34
30RBI →39
3SB ←0
.180AVG →.187
Current Season
CalCategoryCarter
7HR7
16R →23
18RBI →26
2SB ←0
.161AVG →.223
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cal Raleigh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.192 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.271 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Cal Raleigh: 12 HR / 27 R. Carter Jensen: 9 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).