Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryDrake
5HR →14
24R →57
30RBI →56
3SB ←1
.231AVG →.283
Current Season
ConnorCategoryDrake
0HR →13
8R →39
10RBI →38
1SB1
.258AVG →.303
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.352 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.285 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Drake Baldwin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.418, +0.103 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Connor Wong: 5 HR / 25 R. Drake Baldwin: 14 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).