MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Craig Kimbrel
Craig Kimbrel
KC · P
Change to
Portrait of Justin Sterner
Justin Sterner
ATH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 0–0, 4 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Craig Kimbrel wins 0 (none); Justin Sterner wins 0 (none); 4 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
93.6
Justin Sterner
93.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
11.1%
Justin Sterner
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
20.4%
Justin Sterner
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
28.7%
Justin Sterner
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
36.6%
Justin Sterner
45.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
5.3%
Justin Sterner
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
.316
Justin Sterner
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
2.706.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
Justin Sterner
2.706.47
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.54
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
.9801.57
now 1.44
1.24
Justin Sterner
.9801.57
now 1.11
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
4036.40
now 17
0
Justin Sterner
4036.40
now 26
0
Winshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
.0002.80
now 0
0–0
Justin Sterner
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCraig Kimbrel — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeJustin Sterner — hold.conf 0.50
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