MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 23, 2026
Portrait of Craig Kimbrel
Craig Kimbrel
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Keaton Winn
Keaton Winn
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Craig Kimbrel wins 1 (K); Keaton Winn wins 1 (W); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
93.7
Keaton Winn
96.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
12.4%
Keaton Winn
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
22.7%
Keaton Winn
20.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
28.1%
Keaton Winn
29.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
34.9%
Keaton Winn
29.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
3.5%
Keaton Winn
4.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
.309
Keaton Winn
.292
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
26.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
Keaton Winn
26.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.45
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
.9001.66
now 1.44
1.24
Keaton Winn
.9001.66
now 0.90
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
4033.60
now 17
28
Keaton Winn
4033.60
now 22
18
Winshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
.0001.48
now 0
00
Keaton Winn
.0001.48
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCraig Kimbrel — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighKeaton Winn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.77
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