MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 8, 2026
Portrait of Craig Kimbrel
Craig Kimbrel
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Craig Kimbrel.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP. Paul Blackburn’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Craig Kimbrel wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Paul Blackburn wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
93.7
Paul Blackburn
94.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
12.3%
Paul Blackburn
9.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
21.9%
Paul Blackburn
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
27.8%
Paul Blackburn
25.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
38.0%
Paul Blackburn
33.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
4.2%
Paul Blackburn
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
.332
Paul Blackburn
.295
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
2.416.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
Paul Blackburn
2.416.55
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
1.161.52
now 1.44
1.24
Paul Blackburn
1.161.52
now 1.44
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
4045.40
now 17
37
Paul Blackburn
4045.40
now 16
19
Winshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
.0004.20
now 0
00
Paul Blackburn
.0004.20
now 2
13

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCraig Kimbrel — hold.conf 0.50
Sell HighPaul Blackburn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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