Rest of Season Projection
DanielCategoryTyler
35K ←31
3.67ERA →3.62
1.24WHIP ←1.25
1–2W1–2
1–3SV →2–4
Current Season
DanielCategoryTyler
27K ←16
1.93ERA ←2.36
0.99WHIP ←1.13
1W1
1SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Daniel Lynch IV
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.241 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.81 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Tyler Rogers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.30)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Daniel Lynch IV: 35 K / 3.67 ERA. Tyler Rogers: 31 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).