Rest of Season Projection
DanielCategoryWill
35K →39
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W1–3
1–3SV1–3
Current Season
DanielCategoryWill
27K ←20
1.93ERA ←7.23
0.99WHIP ←1.45
1W1
1SV1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Daniel Lynch IV
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.241 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.81 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Will Vest
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Daniel Lynch IV: 35 K / 3.67 ERA. Will Vest: 39 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).