MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 24, 2026
Portrait of Daniel Palencia
Daniel Palencia
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Richard Lovelady
Richard Lovelady
WSH · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Daniel Palencia.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves. Richard Lovelady’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Daniel Palencia wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Richard Lovelady wins 2 (K, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Daniel Palencia
99.4
Richard Lovelady
91.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Daniel Palencia
15.6%
Richard Lovelady
10.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Daniel Palencia
26.8%
Richard Lovelady
18.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Daniel Palencia
31.8%
Richard Lovelady
28.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Daniel Palencia
30.4%
Richard Lovelady
31.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Daniel Palencia
6.5%
Richard Lovelady
4.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Daniel Palencia
.300
Richard Lovelady
.355
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Daniel Palencia
24.34
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.31
3.70
Richard Lovelady
24.34
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.76
WHIPlower is better
Daniel Palencia
1.041.95
now 1.46
1.24
Richard Lovelady
1.041.95
now 1.75
1.26

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Daniel Palencia
4034.40
now 12
26
Richard Lovelady
4034.40
now 21
28
Winshigher is better
Daniel Palencia
.0005.20
now 1
13
Richard Lovelady
.0005.20
now 2
24
Saveshigher is better
Daniel Palencia
110
now 3
58
Richard Lovelady
110
now 4
47
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDaniel Palencia — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50
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