Rest of Season Projection
DannyCategoryDrake
6HR →14
21R →57
23RBI →56
2SB ←1
.174AVG →.283
Current Season
DannyCategoryDrake
3HR →13
11R →39
12RBI →38
1SB1
.171AVG →.303
What Each Player's System Trusts
Danny Jansen
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.254)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Drake Baldwin
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.418, +0.103 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Danny Jansen: 6 HR / 21 R. Drake Baldwin: 14 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).