Rest of Season Projection
DannyCategoryMickey
7HR ←2
23R →35
25RBI ←13
2SB ←0
.176AVG →.253
Current Season
DannyCategoryMickey
3HR ←0
11R ←8
12RBI ←3
1SB ←0
.171AVG →.333
What Each Player's System Trusts
Danny Jansen
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.254)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Mickey Gasper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.432 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.304 is 0.046 below the surface — regression coming
Danny Jansen: 7 HR / 23 R. Mickey Gasper: 2 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).