Rest of Season Projection
DarellCategoryNick
2HR ←1
27R →39
16RBI →19
7SB ←4
.223AVG ←.214
Current Season
DarellCategoryNick
1HR1
12R ←10
7RBI ←5
3SB ←1
.259AVG ←.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Darell Hernaiz
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.274)
Nick Allen
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.318 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.259 is 0.045 below the surface — regression coming
Darell Hernaiz: 2 HR / 27 R. Nick Allen: 1 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).