Rest of Season Projection
MiguelCategoryNick
3HR ←1
21R →39
24RBI ←19
0SB →4
.273AVG ←.214
Current Season
MiguelCategoryNick
1HR1
8R →10
9RBI ←5
0SB →1
.261AVG ←.255
What Each Player's System Trusts
Miguel Rojas
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.308)
Nick Allen
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.318 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.259 is 0.045 below the surface — regression coming
Miguel Rojas: 3 HR / 21 R. Nick Allen: 1 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).