Rest of Season Projection
DerekCategoryJames
7HR →22
29R →78
20RBI →57
20SB ←15
.208AVG →.255
Current Season
DerekCategoryJames
3HR →16
9R →53
6RBI →39
6SB →10
.234AVG →.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Derek Hill
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.296)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.432, +0.117 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Derek Hill: 7 HR / 29 R. James Wood: 22 HR / 78 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).