Who's more valuable, rest of season
Too close to call.
They split your categories 1–1, 3 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV
▶
Devin Williams wins 1 (K); Emilio Pagán wins 1 (SV); 3 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Devin Williams
93.9
Emilio Pagán
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Devin Williams
17.5%
Emilio Pagán
13.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Devin Williams
29.5%
Emilio Pagán
21.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Devin Williams
38.0%
Emilio Pagán
29.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Devin Williams
31.4%
Emilio Pagán
57.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Devin Williams
5.8%
Emilio Pagán
10.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Devin Williams
.290
Emilio Pagán
.334
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Devin Williams
2.617.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Emilio Pagán
2.617.52
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.43
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Devin Williams
1.121.67
now 1.55
1.24
Emilio Pagán
1.121.67
now 1.43
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Devin Williams
4048.80
now 31
38
Emilio Pagán
4048.80
now 11
19
Winshigher is better
Devin Williams
1.204.80
now 3
2–4
Emilio Pagán
1.204.80
now 2
2–4
Saveshigher is better
Devin Williams
413
now 8
6–11
Emilio Pagán
413
now 6
6–11
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDevin Williams — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeEmilio Pagán — hold.conf 0.50