MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Portrait of Devin Williams
Devin Williams
NYM · P
Change to
Portrait of Michael Petersen
Michael Petersen
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Devin Williams wins 1 (WHIP); Michael Petersen wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Devin Williams
93.9
Michael Petersen
98.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Devin Williams
17.5%
Michael Petersen
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Devin Williams
28.3%
Michael Petersen
30.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Devin Williams
38.6%
Michael Petersen
33.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Devin Williams
29.7%
Michael Petersen
43.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Devin Williams
4.5%
Michael Petersen
12.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Devin Williams
.278
Michael Petersen
.287
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Devin Williams
2.676.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.40
3.70
Michael Petersen
2.676.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.63
3.45
WHIPlower is better
Devin Williams
.9501.72
now 1.55
1.24
Michael Petersen
.9501.72
now 1.12
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Devin Williams
4043.40
now 31
0
Michael Petersen
4043.40
now 23
0
Winshigher is better
Devin Williams
.0004.20
now 3
0–0
Michael Petersen
.0004.20
now 1
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDevin Williams — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Sell HighMichael Petersen — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.82
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