MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
ATL · DH
Change to
Portrait of Joc Pederson
Joc Pederson
TEX · DH
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dominic Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Dominic Smith wins 3 categories (R, RBI, AVG); Joc Pederson wins 1 (HR); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Dominic Smith
87.8
Joc Pederson
92.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Dominic Smith
35.6%
Joc Pederson
49.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Dominic Smith
5.9%
Joc Pederson
11.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Dominic Smith
32.3%
Joc Pederson
28.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Dominic Smith
9.8%
Joc Pederson
13.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Dominic Smith
.313
Joc Pederson
.356
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Dominic Smith
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .325
.239
Joc Pederson
.200.360
lg AVG .295
now .240
.229

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Dominic Smith
510.40
now 5
2
Joc Pederson
510.40
now 8
5
Runshigher is better
Dominic Smith
2026.20
now 21
23
Joc Pederson
2026.20
now 23
21
RBIhigher is better
Dominic Smith
2032.40
now 25
28
Joc Pederson
2032.40
now 19
17
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Dominic Smith
.0001.20
now 0
0
Joc Pederson
.0001.20
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyDominic Smith — hold.conf 0.60
BuyJoc Pederson — buy.conf 0.68
Tweet