MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SF · CF
Change to
Portrait of James Outman
James Outman
DET · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

James Outman.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and steals. Drew Gilbert’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

James Outman wins 3 categories (HR, R, SB); Drew Gilbert wins 2 (RBI, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
85.5
James Outman
86.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
32.5%
James Outman
31.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
1.9%
James Outman
7.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Drew Gilbert
24.9%
James Outman
29.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Drew Gilbert
9.2%
James Outman
21.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
.296
James Outman
.211
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Drew Gilbert
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .231
.229
James Outman
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .161
.160

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Drew Gilbert
54.20
now 3
1
James Outman
54.20
now 0
3
Runshigher is better
Drew Gilbert
2020.20
now 12
15
James Outman
2020.20
now 9
17
RBIhigher is better
Drew Gilbert
2019.80
now 12
15
James Outman
2019.80
now 3
6
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Drew Gilbert
.0009.80
now 0
0
James Outman
.0009.80
now 4
7
If you already own them — trade angle
SellDrew Gilbert — sell.conf 0.59
Hold · wait & seeJames Outman — hold.conf 0.50
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