MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 8, 2026
Portrait of Drew Gilbert
Drew Gilbert
SF · CF
Change to
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
AZ · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Lourdes Gurriel Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and steals. Drew Gilbert’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, SB); Drew Gilbert wins 2 (R, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
85.5
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
86.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
32.4%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
32.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
2.1%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
4.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Drew Gilbert
24.5%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
39.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Drew Gilbert
8.9%
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
12.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Drew Gilbert
.297
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
.276
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Drew Gilbert
.210.240
lg AVG .295
now .231
.230
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
.210.240
lg AVG .295
now .228
.227

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Drew Gilbert
54.20
now 3
2
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
54.20
now 1
3
Runshigher is better
Drew Gilbert
2022.40
now 12
18
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2022.40
now 7
13
RBIhigher is better
Drew Gilbert
2025
now 12
18
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
2025
now 11
21
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Drew Gilbert
.0003.20
now 0
0
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
.0003.20
now 1
2
If you already own them — trade angle
SellDrew Gilbert — sell.conf 0.59
SellLourdes Gurriel Jr. — sell.conf 0.63
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