Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryJacob
12HR ←2
52R ←32
48RBI ←33
13SB ←4
.254AVG →.262
Current Season
EllyCategoryJacob
12HR ←3
40R ←18
37RBI ←19
10SB ←2
.280AVG →.292
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Jacob Wilson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.275 below league with no luck excuse
Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Jacob Wilson: 2 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).