Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryJeremy
12HR ←5
52R ←40
48RBI ←21
13SB ←8
.254AVG →.297
Current Season
EllyCategoryJeremy
12HR ←3
40R ←15
37RBI ←8
10SB ←3
.280AVG ←.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Jeremy Peña
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.365)
Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Jeremy Peña: 5 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).