Rest of Season Projection
EllyCategoryJoey
12HR ←3
52R ←28
48RBI ←24
13SB ←7
.254AVG ←.219
Current Season
EllyCategoryJoey
12HR ←1
40R ←15
37RBI ←13
10SB ←4
.280AVG ←.193
What Each Player's System Trusts
Elly De La Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.366 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Joey Ortiz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.298 below league with no luck excuse
Elly De La Cruz: 12 HR / 53 R. Joey Ortiz: 3 HR / 28 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).