Rest of Season Projection
EmersonCategoryNolan
97K →128
4.13ERA →3.36
1.13WHIP ←1.24
4–9W ←3–7
0SV0
Current Season
EmersonCategoryNolan
70K →77
2.80ERA ←4.21
0.95WHIP ←1.12
4W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Emerson Hancock
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.15 is 1.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Nolan McLean
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 3.36, 0.74 below league — production is earned
Emerson Hancock: 97 K / 4.13 ERA. Nolan McLean: 128 K / 3.36 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).