Rest of Season Projection
EmersonCategorySpencer
88K →116
4.15ERA →3.99
1.13WHIP ←1.31
4–8W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
EmersonCategorySpencer
70K ←40
2.80ERA ←3.77
0.95WHIP ←1.26
4W ←3
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Emerson Hancock
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.17 is 1.37 above the ERA — regression coming
Spencer Strider
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.02)
Emerson Hancock: 88 K / 4.15 ERA. Spencer Strider: 116 K / 3.99 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).