Rest of Season Projection
ErikCategoryMark
55K ←35
3.69ERA ←3.72
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←0–0
0SV →4–7
Current Season
ErikCategoryMark
39K ←25
1.71ERA ←5.47
0.95WHIP ←1.46
2W ←0
0SV →4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Erik Sabrowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.200 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.46 is 0.75 above the ERA — regression coming
Mark Leiter Jr.
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.22 is right around league — a usable arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.351 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Erik Sabrowski: 56 K / 3.69 ERA. Mark Leiter Jr.: 36 K / 3.72 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).