MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT · RF
Change to
Nathan Church
STL · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nathan Church.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nathan Church wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Esmerlyn Valdez wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
92.4
Nathan Church
86.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
50.6%
Nathan Church
32.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
24.1%
Nathan Church
7.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
22.6%
Nathan Church
45.5%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
17.1%
Nathan Church
13.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.358
Nathan Church
.284
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.200.320
lg AVG .295
now .111
.166
Nathan Church
.200.320
lg AVG .295
now .260
.222

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
56.20
now 2
5
Nathan Church
56.20
now 5
2
Runshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
2024.40
now 2
10
Nathan Church
2024.40
now 18
14
RBIhigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
2034.40
now 5
26
Nathan Church
2034.40
now 18
14
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.0005.60
now 0
0
Nathan Church
.0005.60
now 4
3
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighEsmerlyn Valdez — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.80
SellNathan Church — sell.conf 0.61
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