MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 7, 2026
Esmerlyn Valdez
PIT · RF
Change to
Portrait of Owen Caissie
Owen Caissie
MIA · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Esmerlyn Valdez.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, RBI, and average. Owen Caissie’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Esmerlyn Valdez wins 3 categories (HR, RBI, AVG); Owen Caissie wins 2 (R, SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
90.5
Owen Caissie
91.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
50.0%
Owen Caissie
47.2%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
27.3%
Owen Caissie
15.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
24.8%
Owen Caissie
30.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
17.1%
Owen Caissie
17.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.365
Owen Caissie
.300
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .111
.209
Owen Caissie
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .234
.205

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
514.60
now 2
11
Owen Caissie
514.60
now 5
8
Runshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
2028.60
now 2
16
Owen Caissie
2028.60
now 17
21
RBIhigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
2054
now 5
40
Owen Caissie
2054
now 30
37
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Esmerlyn Valdez
.0005.60
now 0
0
Owen Caissie
.0005.60
now 3
4
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighEsmerlyn Valdez — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.70
SellOwen Caissie — sell.conf 0.58
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