Rest of Season Projection
EsteuryCategoryJonny
3HR3
44R ←35
20RBI →39
32SB ←12
.160AVG →.249
Current Season
EsteuryCategoryJonny
2HR2
11R →17
5RBI →19
8SB ←6
.178AVG →.269
What Each Player's System Trusts
Esteury Ruiz
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.274)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jonny DeLuca
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.277 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Ruiz holds a 32–12 SB advantage over DeLuca; DeLuca's .249 AVG far exceeds Ruiz's .160. The verdicts match the surface: hold Ruiz, sell-high DeLuca.
