Rest of Season Projection
EvanCategoryJac
8HR →14
37R ←34
30RBI ←22
15SB ←2
.186AVG →.254
Current Season
EvanCategoryJac
6HR6
22R ←20
18RBI ←13
9SB ←1
.171AVG →.242
What Each Player's System Trusts
Evan Carter
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.299 below league with no luck excuse
Jac Caglianone
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.341, +0.026 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Evan Carter: 8 HR / 37 R. Jac Caglianone: 14 HR / 34 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).