Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryEvan
4HR →8
40R ←37
43RBI ←30
0SB →15
.248AVG ←.186
Current Season
AlexCategoryEvan
0HR →6
12R →22
13RBI →18
0SB →9
.290AVG ←.171
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Call
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.050 below the surface — regression coming
Evan Carter
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.299 below league with no luck excuse
Alex Call: 4 HR / 40 R. Evan Carter: 8 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).