Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryDerek
4HR →7
40R ←29
43RBI ←20
0SB →20
.248AVG ←.208
Current Season
AlexCategoryDerek
0HR →3
12R ←9
13RBI ←6
0SB →6
.290AVG ←.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Call
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.050 below the surface — regression coming
Derek Hill
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.296)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Alex Call's .248 AVG / 43 RBI outpaces Derek Hill's .208 AVG / 20 RBI. The 23 RBI gap seals it; Call is a sell-high, Hill a hold.