Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryLawrence
4HR →9
40R ←32
43RBI ←27
0SB →8
.248AVG ←.224
Current Season
AlexCategoryLawrence
0HR →3
12R →17
13RBI →14
0SB →4
.290AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Call
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.050 below the surface — regression coming
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.210 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Alex Call leads 40 R / 43 RBI vs Lawrence Butler's 32 R / 27 RBI. Butler's 9 HR and 8 SB add category juice. Sell high on Call; buy low on Butler.