Rest of Season Projection
DerekCategoryNathan
7HR ←4
29R ←26
20RBI →29
20SB ←0
.208AVG →.314
Current Season
DerekCategoryNathan
3HR ←0
9R ←8
6RBI →9
6SB ←0
.234AVG →.301
What Each Player's System Trusts
Derek Hill
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.296)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Nathan Lukes
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.332)
Derek Hill: 7 HR / 29 R. Nathan Lukes: 4 HR / 26 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).