Rest of Season Projection
A.J.CategoryNathan
6HR ←4
28R ←26
21RBI →29
14SB ←0
.236AVG →.314
Current Season
A.J.CategoryNathan
1HR ←0
8R8
6RBI →9
4SB ←0
.224AVG →.301
What Each Player's System Trusts
A.J. Ewing
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.321)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Nathan Lukes
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.332)
Ewing's 14 SB to Lukes's 0 stolen bases define the gap; Lukes counters with a .314 AVG vs Ewing's .236 — category differentiation, not a winner.