Rest of Season Projection
A.J.CategoryLawrence
6HR →9
28R →32
21RBI →27
14SB ←8
.236AVG ←.224
Current Season
A.J.CategoryLawrence
1HR →3
8R →17
6RBI →14
4SB4
.224AVG ←.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
A.J. Ewing
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.321)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.210 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Ewing leads 14 SB vs Butler's 8; Butler outpaces in HR (9 to 6) and RBI (27 to 21). The buy-low verdict on Butler reflects upside despite his .224 AVG, while Ewing holds steady.