MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 30, 2026
Portrait of Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATH · RF
Change to
Nathan Church
STL · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Nathan Church.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, RBI, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Nathan Church wins 3 categories (R, RBI, AVG); Lawrence Butler wins 1 (HR); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Lawrence Butler
89.0
Nathan Church
86.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Lawrence Butler
44.6%
Nathan Church
32.7%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Lawrence Butler
6.4%
Nathan Church
7.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Lawrence Butler
24.2%
Nathan Church
45.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Lawrence Butler
13.0%
Nathan Church
13.1%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Lawrence Butler
.305
Nathan Church
.282
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Lawrence Butler
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .164
.219
Nathan Church
.200.300
lg AVG .295
now .260
.221

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Lawrence Butler
56.20
now 3
3
Nathan Church
56.20
now 5
2
Runshigher is better
Lawrence Butler
2021.20
now 17
14
Nathan Church
2021.20
now 18
16
RBIhigher is better
Lawrence Butler
2021.20
now 14
12
Nathan Church
2021.20
now 18
16
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Lawrence Butler
1.805.20
now 4
3
Nathan Church
1.805.20
now 4
3
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowLawrence Butler — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.66
SellNathan Church — sell.conf 0.62
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