Rest of Season Projection
AlexCategoryColton
4HR →11
40R ←38
43RBI ←40
0SB →2
.248AVG ←.202
Current Season
AlexCategoryColton
0HR →4
12R →17
13RBI →18
0SB →1
.290AVG ←.227
What Each Player's System Trusts
Alex Call
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.327 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.050 below the surface — regression coming
Colton Cowser
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.300)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Alex Call: .248 AVG / 40 R vs Colton Cowser: .202 AVG / 38 R. Call trails in power, 4 HR vs 11, but leads in runs and average. Sell-high on Call; hold Cowser.