Rest of Season Projection
EvanCategoryJames
8HR →22
37R →78
30RBI →57
15SB15
.186AVG →.255
Current Season
EvanCategoryJames
6HR →16
22R →53
18RBI →39
9SB →10
.171AVG →.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Evan Carter
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.299 below league with no luck excuse
James Wood
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.432, +0.117 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Evan Carter: 8 HR / 37 R. James Wood: 22 HR / 78 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).