Rest of Season Projection
EversonCategoryHarrison
6HR6
24R ←23
24RBI →33
3SB ←0
.209AVG ←.190
Current Season
EversonCategoryHarrison
3HR →5
7R →10
7RBI →14
1SB ←0
.250AVG ←.170
What Each Player's System Trusts
Everson Pereira
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.313)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.317 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Harrison Bader
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.191 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Everson Pereira: 6 HR / 24 R. Harrison Bader: 6 HR / 24 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).