Rest of Season Projection
EzequielCategoryNico
7HR ←3
45R ←35
57RBI ←49
9SB →16
.257AVG →.274
Current Season
EzequielCategoryNico
4HR4
25R ←24
32RBI →33
5SB →11
.299AVG ←.252
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ezequiel Duran
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.374 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.312 is 0.043 below the surface — regression coming
Nico Hoerner
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.339)
Ezequiel Duran: 7 HR / 45 R. Nico Hoerner: 3 HR / 35 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).