Rest of Season Projection
EzequielCategoryJJ
7HR →11
45R →58
57RBI ←37
9SB →10
.257AVG ←.240
Current Season
EzequielCategoryJJ
4HR →9
25R →39
32RBI ←25
5SB →7
.299AVG ←.245
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ezequiel Duran
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.374 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.312 is 0.043 below the surface — regression coming
JJ Wetherholt
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.359, +0.044 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ezequiel Duran: 7 HR / 45 R. JJ Wetherholt: 11 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).