Rest of Season Projection
EzequielCategoryNasim
7HR ←2
45R ←38
57RBI ←27
9SB →38
.257AVG ←.211
Current Season
EzequielCategoryNasim
4HR ←0
25R ←22
32RBI ←16
5SB →22
.299AVG ←.193
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ezequiel Duran
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.374 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.312 is 0.043 below the surface — regression coming
Nasim Nuñez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.272 below league with no luck excuse
Ezequiel Duran: 7 HR / 45 R. Nasim Nuñez: 2 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).