Rest of Season Projection
EzequielCategoryJazz
7HR →11
45R ←39
57RBI ←31
9SB →22
.257AVG ←.213
Current Season
EzequielCategoryJazz
4HR →6
25R25
32RBI ←20
5SB →14
.299AVG ←.239
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ezequiel Duran
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.374 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.312 is 0.043 below the surface — regression coming
Jazz Chisholm Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.283 below league with no luck excuse
Ezequiel Duran: 7 HR / 45 R. Jazz Chisholm Jr.: 11 HR / 39 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).